NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated September 19, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavin Gray | 5 | 45 | 83.3% | 1 | 28.1 | 2 |
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 5 | 45 | 83.3% | 1 | 29.2 | 1 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 4 | 45 | 66.7% | 3 | 26.8 | 5 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 4 | 45 | 66.7% | 3 | 27.2 | 4 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 4 | 45 | 66.7% | 3 | 27.8 | 3 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 3 | 45 | 50.0% | 6 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 7 | Andrew Batchelor | 2 | 45 | 33.3% | 7 | 26.1 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 2 | 45 | 33.3% | 7 | 25.3 | 7 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 2 | 45 | 33.3% | 7 | 22.7 | 10 |
| 10 | Karl Loiseau | 1 | 45 | 16.7% | 10 | 23.6 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 10.3 | DET | 0.39 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 10.8 | TB | 0.67 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 7.0 | PIT | 0.55 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 12.0 | NYG | 0.81 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 8.3 | PHI | 0.33 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 8.9 | ATL | 0.61 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 8.0 | BUF | 0.28 |
| Buffalo Bills | 1 | 10.6 | WAS | 0.72 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 8.2 | LV | 0.45 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 12.3 | ARI | 0.85 |
| Green Bay Packers | 1 | 8.8 | NO | 0.55 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 6.1 | SF | 0.19 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 11.6 | IND | 0.76 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 9.0 | TEN | 0.61 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 7.2 | BAL | 0.24 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 10.3 | GB | 0.45 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 9.0 | HOU | 0.80 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 5.7 | KC | 0.14 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 10.7 | CHI | 0.86 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 7.9 | CIN | 0.43 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0 | 7.5 | LAC | 0.54 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 11.4 | DEN | 0.72 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 5.4 | SEA | 0.30 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 8.5 | LA | 0.57 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 1 | 8.1 | NE | 0.41 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 8.3 | CLE | 0.39 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 6.3 | NYJ | 0.59 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 8.5 | CAR | 0.70 |
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 6.9 | MIA | 0.28 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 8.2 | MIN | 0.46 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Washington Commanders | 2 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Green Bay Packers | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 9 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chicago Bears | 0 | 23 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0 | 16 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 18 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | 8 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 21 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
